Wednesday, April 10, 2013

Todays Race Of Interest Aqueduct 04-11-13 Race (1)

Todays Race Of Interest Aqueduct 04-11-13 Race (1)

I have it down to just 2 contenders.
The (2) and the (6).
My preference would be the (2) who ran in stronger company and shows well in a fast paced race.

Saturday, April 6, 2013

Software, Predictability And The Unforeseen

Software, Predictability And The Unforeseen

From my experiences with quite a few software products and over the course of 58 years playing and watching the races, I have concluded that using these software products will lead the majority of us to the "chalk" or favorite selections. It will not see the subtle trainer moves or identify certain angles which point to an improving horse.
Most of us know that favorites will win between 30 - 33% of the races. It is my opinion that the playing of the chalk and favorite selections will show a negative ROI in the long term or not enough of a profit to cover the expense and cost of the software and data files. Evidently, there are some of us that have the need to hedge, dutch and select upwards of 3 to 4 horses in a race to show profitability. The small yield per race will eventually be overcome by some protacted losing streaks. If there are a few winners I would speculate that the profits derived would not warrant the time and effort spent.

I was taught many years ago that in order to beat the game you need to have an "edge". I find that this "edge" will best be achieved betting one win selection in any given race and by betting against the first and second favorites and /or at  minimum odds of 3-1 or greater. Exactas and the exotics are not an option for me. You have to look for reasons why the figure horse or horses cannot win.

Monday, April 1, 2013

A Word To The Wise Is Sufficient

I am in the process of studying a new method that seems to working fairly well for me.

I came across this passage and it was very profound and made a tremendous amount of sense to me.
I wanted to share this quote with you.
If you don't agree with it that's fine. Keep on doing what you were doing before you read this.
I was taught very early on that you can't tell a horse player very much of anything.

Sunday, March 31, 2013

SAX 03-31-13 Possible Spot (Value Plays)

SAX 03-31-13
Possible Spot (Value) Plays

Race -4

Race -5


Race -6


Race -8

Saturday, March 30, 2013